We will not actually count on the 2020 fantasy soccer season to only proceed as regular, can we? Between a world pandemic and protests, the already-resumed skilled leagues have seen a variety of bumps within the street. The NFL will probably be no completely different, and the NFL already has us anticipating the sudden regularly. Nobody deliberate on Gardner Minshew turning into considered one of soccer’s hottest gamers final season, but it surely occurred. So, in hopes of accounting for a few of the loopy, these are 10 daring predictions for the 2020 fantasy soccer season.
Making daring predictions is usually a bit tough as a result of everybody’s definition of daring is a little bit completely different. Under, you may discover that a few of the predictions are bolder than others, however all of them are issues that present ADP and rankings would counsel will not occur. However nothing is inconceivable, and with loads of causes under, there is a case to be made that any and all of this stuff might occur.
DOMINATE YOUR DRAFT: Final 2020 cheat sheet
1. Lamar Jackson will rating essentially the most single-season fantasy factors ever
First, the numbers: Jackson scored 415.7 fantasy factors in 2019 (with four-point passing TDs). That was lower than two factors behind Patrick Mahomes’ 2018 (417.1) and fewer than 12 factors behind LaDanian Tomlinson’s all-time mark of 427.1 standard-league fantasy factors in 2006.
It is simple to speak about Jackson and count on him to regress to the imply, however he is solely been within the league two seasons — we do not also have a good grasp but of what his imply is. Why could not he repeat final season’s numbers, and even do higher?
There is a easy technique to challenge Jackson to beat LT — give him a number of extra dashing TDs. Regardless of dashing 176 occasions, which was 67 greater than Josh Allen, who led all QBs with 9 dashing touchdowns, Jackson completed with seven dashing TDs. It would not be unfair to counsel Jackson might get 10 dashing TDs, averaging one rating each 17 occasions he runs. That alone would push him over LT, though possibly it means one or two fewer passing TDs. Jackson could make up for that with only a slight improve in yards per completion, which is actually doable due to the additions of rookies Devin Duvernay and JK Dobbins and the emergence of Miles Boykin.
Perhaps the extra enjoyable query, assuming a enjoyable Patrick Mahomes, is that this: Can they each break the single-season fantasy factors report in 2020?
2020 STANDARD FANTASY RANKINGS:
Quarterback | Operating again | Large receiver | Tight finish | D/ST | Kicker | Superflex | Prime 200
2. Gardner Minshew will outscore Josh Allen
Let’s begin with how shut Minshew and Allen had been in fantasy factors per recreation in 2019: Allen averaged 18.zero, whereas Minshew averaged 16.four. Whereas Allen has added Stefon Diggs to his receiving corps, the Buffalo offensive system stays the identical, with that maneuver extra impacting John Brown and Cole Beasley than it does Allen. So, for the sake of this prediction, let’s take a look at that 1.6 fantasy factors per recreation differential. Making it up for Minshew will likely be all about regression.
A yr in the past, Allen rushed for 9 TDs, greater than any quarterback within the league, together with Lamar Jackson. He did that on 109 rushes at four.7 yards per try. Whereas Buffalo is snug with Allen carrying down close to the purpose line, that is probably a peak dashing rating season for him. Minshew, then again, rushed 67 occasions at 5.1 yards per try and by no means discovered the tip zone together with his legs. With quarterbacks benefiting a lot from the proportionally extra useful dashing stats, Minshew probably closes the hole on Allen in dashing landing factors.
Then, you’ve got to contemplate the turnovers. Allen protected the soccer a lot better in 2019, declining by three in interceptions from the yr earlier than regardless of taking part in extra video games. However Allen additionally fumbled a regarding 14 occasions, managing to solely lose 4 of them. Minshew in a whole lot of methods performed like a rookie-year Allen, however he was already a lot better with a 21-6 TD-INT ratio, which really beat Allen’s 20-9 ratio from a yr in the past. Minshew had a lot worse luck on his fumbles, dropping seven of his 13. These little negatives, which is perhaps extra fluky than something, add up.
Let’s assume each of those QBs play 16 video games. If Allen declines to 6 dashing touchdowns and Minshew runs for 3, then we give Allen one other interception and two extra fumbles misplaced whereas taking away two fumbles misplaced from Minshew, that is 24 factors damaging for Allen and 22 factors constructive for Minshew (in leagues with -2 for INTs and FLs). That 46-point whole works out to nearly three fantasy factors per recreation. Perhaps I am making a whole lot of assumptions, however after already comparatively comparable 2019s, Allen and Minshew probably will not end as far off in 2020 as their QB8 and QB25 ADP’s counsel.
2020 FANTASY SLEEPERS:
6 QBs | 16 RBs | 14 WRs | 10 TEs | 5 D/STs | One from every crew
three. Devin Singletary finishes as a top-10 RB
The Singletary believers on the market won’t discover this as daring, however he is at present being taken 25th amongst working backs, in response to FantasyPros ADP knowledge. Final yr, Singletary completed with the 26th-most fantasy factors per recreation on the place regardless of Frank Gore main Buffalo with 166 carries. Regardless of how a lot you want rookie Zack Moss, you’ll be able to’t count on him to get all of Gore’s carries. Singletary might be taking a look at a rise in touches wherever from 60-100 carries plus catches.
A yr in the past, Singletary averaged zero.66 fantasy factors per contact. If we go along with the conservative estimate of 60 extra touches, that is one other 39.6 fantasy factors, which might push him into final yr’s high 15 in fantasy factors per recreation amongst RBs. A extra sensible estimate has him heading straight for the highest 10.
After all, none of that accounts for the probably enhancements Singletary has made heading into his second yr. If something, Buffalo’s offensive line needs to be improved from a stable 2019 thanks to a couple offseason signings. There are tons of fine RBs, and that may extra probably be the rationale for Singletary not making the highest 10 versus any flaws of Singletary’s.
FANTASY DRAFT STRATEGIES:
Snake draft | Public sale | Greatest ball | Dynasty | IDP
four. Duke Johnson outscores David Johnson
How way back does 2016 really feel? That is when David Johnson rushed for 16 touchdowns and 1,200 yards whereas catching 80 passes. Since then, Johnson missed most of ’17 with damage, then noticed his yards per rush and yards per reception take a nosedive to his poor ’18 and ’19 totals. Anybody who rostered Johnson final yr remembers how irritating he was, probably costing a first-round decide earlier than spending manner an excessive amount of time on the sideline.
His transfer to Houston brings with it a whole lot of hype, largely as a result of he was the identify on the opposite facet of the DeAndre Hopkins commerce. That does not imply David Johnson is all of a sudden a greater participant — his three.7 yards per rush in 2019 (preceded by three.6 in ’18) and up to date damage historical past are much better indicators of what he brings to the desk.
Duke Johnson, then again, averaged four.9 yards per rush final season. He is at the very least an equal pass-catcher to David Johnson, and he brings with him no questionable damage historical past. At occasions a yr in the past, Duke Johnson was trusted as an early-down rusher for the primary time in his profession, and he performed properly whereas doing so. David Johnson probably will get the primary crack in Week 1, however the odds of him being ineffective and/or injured are fairly excessive, which would depart Duke Johnson to seize the reins and run with them.
2020 PPR RANKINGS:
Operating again | Large receiver | Tight finish | Superflex | Prime 200
5. Preston Williams is a top-20 WR
You did not suppose I might get by means of an article like this with out mentioning my favourite sleeper courting again to final preseason, did you? This is my chorus: Williams was a first-round expertise at Colorado State who went undrafted because of character considerations. He had no points in his first yr within the league, and he was focused 60 occasions (and caught 32) in half a season. Allen Hurns and Albert Wilson have each opted out in Miami, leaving non-DeVante Parker targets extensively obtainable.
Who’s to say we won’t simply double Williams’ stats and provides him 64 catches, 856 yards and 6 touchdowns throughout a 16-game marketing campaign? That is not accounting for choose outs or enhancements or elevated offensive utilization – it is merely the tempo he was already on as a comparatively unknown rookie in 2019. Clearly, his full and well timed from a torn ACL will likely be crucial, however because it stands, he is on observe to be prepared for Week 1.
We all know Ryan Fitzpatrick is joyful to sling it, and Williams’ 6-5 body suits properly as a downfield, jump-ball risk. If Tua Tagovailoa takes over the job sooner or later, he will not be some main downgrade. As we all know, Tua labored properly with bodily exceptional receivers at Alabama. If something, Parker’s breakout 2019 grabs extra defensive consideration this yr and leaves Williams working towards an overmatched defensive again.
In a league with a lot passing, breaking into WR2 territory is not simple, however we noticed Courtland Sutton and A.J. Brown achieve this final yr. This yr, it is perhaps Williams.
DRAFT STRATEGY AND RANKINGS TIERS:
Quarterback | Operating Again | Large Receiver | Tight Finish
6. Devin Duvernay scores extra fantasy factors than Marquise Brown
Hollywood Brown put up a Week 1 that his fantasy homeowners waited for him to repeat all season: 4 catches, 147 yards, two touchdowns. However Brown by no means got here near that efficiency once more. His subsequent greatest single-game yardage whole was 86. He caught 5 extra touchdowns throughout 13 video games. After catching eight passes in Week 2, Brown did not catch greater than 5 in a recreation the remainder of the best way. He additionally missed time with an damage, and he is not the most important receiver, which means that would occur once more.
A few of you is perhaps questioning who the heck Devin Duvernay is. He is a rookie wideout from Texas with excessive slot prowess, and in 2019 with the Longhorns, he caught 106 passes for 1,386 yards. At 5-11 and 210 kilos, Duvernay is larger than the Julian Edelman slot-mold. He is additionally quick, working a four.39 40-yard sprint on the NFL Mix.
We all know the Ravens offense is not constructed round passing, so there’ll solely be so many targets to go round. That implies that even when Duvernay beats Brown in fantasy factors, it could be in additional of a flex spot of your lineup than something higher. That does not imply it is not price enthusiastic about. Can Brown dwell as much as the hype he created in his NFL debut? Or is Duvernay higher suited to achieve the Ravens’ short-passing offense? The reply is perhaps completely different than you thought earlier than opening this text.
7. Gerald Everett outscores Tyler Higbee
You have to give Higbee credit score — he took main benefit of an damage to Everett to dominate because the Rams tight finish down the stretch of 2019. That probably leaves him the favourite to start out in that job in ’20, however there is a motive Everett was the primary selection on the place a yr in the past. He makes larger performs.
Regardless of catching 43 fewer passes than Higbee in his profession, Everett has caught the identical variety of touchdowns. He was a greater yards-per-reception whole, too. Higbee was became a significant safety blanket for Goff final season, catching a career-best 69 passes however at a career-worst (min. 20 receptions) 10.6 yards per catch. Higbee might get open sufficient on quick routes to be helpful, but it surely’s not a high-upside play for the Rams.
The departure of Brandin Cooks will depart Los Angeles ravenous for one more man who could make performs. Perhaps that is Josh Reynolds or rookie Van Jefferson at WR, however Everett’s identify also needs to be in that dialog. He confirmed he can do it in a prime-time lens in Week 5 of final season, catching seven-of-11 targets for 136 yards towards the Seahawks. Accidents greater than the rest had been what precipitated him points, but when he stays wholesome, Everett has an opportunity to unseat Higbee and put up numbers.
eight. Scotty Miller is a top-30 PPR receiver; Dare Ogunbowale outscores Ronald Jones in PPR
In case you did not hear, the Buccaneers have a brand new QB, and his identify is Tom Brady. While you image Brady’s profession in New England, it is laborious to not envision his reference to slot receivers like Wes Welker and Julian Edelman, or with pass-catching backs like Kevin Faulk and James White. So, despite the fact that Tampa Bay has established weapons on the perimeter and extra identified RBs, there’s an opportunity the Bucs discover Brady-sized roles for his or her greatest slot and pass-catching RB choices.
Scotty Miller was a sixth-round select of Illinois a yr in the past and barely sniffed the sector till late within the season. He managed 15 yards per catch regardless of taking part in out of the slot, and he has the within observe at slot work once more in 2020.
Dare Ogunbowale was Tampa Bay’s third-down again a yr in the past, however Jameis Winston wasn’t one for checkdowns. Brady is way completely different in that regard, and Bruce Arians’ offense will certainly acknowledge that. It is laborious to belief Ronald Jones (or LeSean McCoy) with early down Tampa Bay work, so Ogunbowale might flip into essentially the most reliable PPR again that the Buccaneers have.
Admittedly, each of those guys are attempting to transplant New England’s offense to Tampa Bay. Perhaps Arians will attempt to make Brady throw extra deep passes like Winston did. However extra probably, the G.O.A.T. might want to develop his trusty sidekicks, and Miller and Ogunbowale match the molds.
9. Antonio Gibson leads Washington RBs in fantasy scoring
The Washington Soccer Group’s working again state of affairs is a dumpster fireplace. An getting older Adrian Peterson continues to get seems nearly by default at this level. Perhaps Bryce Love steps up as an early-down again, but it surely’s now been three years since his monster season at Stanford. It isn’t like we must always count on a lot out of Peyton Barber, both. The very best half about Gibson is perhaps that he is probably not a working again in any respect.
Sure, all of the fantasy websites have given Gibson RB-eligibility since that is what Washington lists him as, however Gibson has already lined up all around the subject in coaching camp, similar to he did at Memphis, the place he caught 38 passes and ran 33 occasions in 2019. He is explosive, and in a Washington offense missing depth of weapons, the truth that Gibson could be a number of weapons directly ought to have main attraction.
Even when Gibson comes out on high amongst Washington RBs, that is not more likely to be a glamorous place. However because it might be in Washington’s greatest pursuits to drive him to get touches, each within the backfield and out vast, Gibson may accumulate sufficient factors to be a enjoyable flex play every week.
10. Jameis Winston will win you a fantasy soccer playoff matchup
Winston may’ve received a few of you fantasy championships in 2019, however now he is the backup in New Orleans, so this prediction can be a wager on Drew Brees getting damage. We do not have something towards Brees, however who is aware of? He is outdated, there is a international pandemic, and he was damage final yr. It isn’t an impossibility that Brees misses time in the course of the fantasy playoffs.
And whereas Winston was nice from a fantasy perspective final season, he wasn’t an superior real-life quarterback. He has tons of expertise, and it would take the pairing of Brees and Sean Payton to assist totally unlock that. If Winston will get to look at and be taught for half a season earlier than being pressed into obligation, he might be able to tear the league up throwing to Michael Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders. Now, would not that be one thing?