Alvin Kamara would possibly’ve been warning everybody of his impending holdout on Aug. 17, when he tweeted, “Sorry upfront.” ESPN’s Adam Schefter reported Monday that the star RB from the Saints has been an unexcused absence from the previous three days of observe due to a scenario that’s believed to be contract-related. With Kamara going off the board within the first spherical throughout fantasy soccer drafts, any potential holdout might have main implications on the season. There will be much more carries obtainable to handcuff Latavius Murray, and even backup RB Ty Montgomery might discover a position within the Saints’ offense, making him a stealth sleeper lurking low in our PPR rankings.
We’ll proceed so as to add new updates to the put up beneath all through the preseason. For the most recent on extra fantasy information, remember to observe us on Twitter @SN_Fantasy.
DOMINATE YOUR DRAFT: Final 2020 cheat sheet
Alvin Kamara fantasy outlook
UPDATE 9/1: The Saints are reportedly open to “buying and selling” Kamara.
Kamara at the moment ranks as our No. eight RB in normal leagues and No. four in PPR leagues, assuming he exhibits up and begins the season on time. Based on FantasyPros ADP information, he is going off the board sixth on the place. Regardless of the place you look, Kamara is a first-round fantasy draft decide, and for good motive.
Accidents in 2019 did not cease Kamara from averaging 12.zero fantasy factors per sport in normal leagues and 17.eight factors per sport in PPR. Kamara’s season would’ve been even higher with higher landing luck, the sort that noticed him rating 14 TDs on the bottom alone in 2018. Kamara’s constant workload within the New Orleans offense makes him an every-week starter you’ll be able to depend on. In every of his first three NFL seasons, Kamara has caught precisely 81 passes.
The addition of Emmanuel Sanders to the Saints might solely enhance their offense barely from a 12 months in the past. Kamara continues to be set to be a part of a one-two punch with Michael Thomas. Do not forget that previous to the 2019 season, Kamara was locked and loaded as a top-four total decide in fantasy drafts. And he is solely 25, so he might nonetheless enhance.
As of Sept. 1, Kamara comes with threat in fantasy drafts, although. Till he returns to observe, or indicators a brand new contract, there’s threat that he will not be on the market Week 1. Any time missed out of your first-round decide may very well be too nice to beat, so till Kamara returns to the workforce, he is most likely price passing on within the first spherical. There needs to be some optimism surrounding Kamara’s possible contract needs because the Saints obtained a deal completed shortly with Michael Thomas, however RB is an entire totally different animal in as we speak’s NFL.
Kamara is probably going nonetheless price draft within the second spherical, however as we have seen with Le’Veon Bell and Melvin Gordon, these holdouts can linger into the season — presumably all 12 months. If extra adverse experiences come out of New Orleans, Kamara’s draft worth will maintain dropping.
2020 STANDARD FANTASY RANKINGS:
Quarterback | Working again | Huge receiver | Tight finish | D/ST | Kicker | Superflex | Prime 200
Who’s the Saints Handcuff RB? Latavius Murray steps into sleeper position
When Kamara’s wholesome, Murray most likely qualifies as probably the most concerned RB handcuff in soccer. The Saints rushed him 146 instances in 2019 and focused him one other 43 instances. On loads of groups, Murray could be a lead again. He is large and quick, and if Kamara is not prepared for Week 1, Murray turns into a powerful RB2.
In case your draft continues to be upcoming, Murray is a must-draft if you happen to resolve to take the chance with Kamara within the early rounds. FantasyPros has Murray coming off the board 119th total, but when Kamara continues his absence, Murray will certainly rise.
For a way of Murray’s upside, simply have a look at his begins in Weeks 7 and eight when Kamara was out final 12 months. He obtained 27 after which 21 carries, respectively, rushed for greater than 100 yards in each video games, was focused a mixed 18 instances and scored 4 whole touchdowns. In an offense that is nonetheless as explosive as New Orleans’ is, Murray shall be in beginning fantasy lineups any week Kamara misses.
For now, donsider Murray a fifth- or sixth-round goal.
2020 PPR RANKINGS:
Working again | Huge receiver | Tight finish | Superflex | Prime 200
PPR Sleeper: Ty Montgomery
Past Kamara and Murray, the Saints have former Packers WR-turned-RB Ty Montgomery. The opposite RBs that might presumably make the roster are Dwayne Washington, at the moment on the COVID-19 restriction record, and rookie Tony Jones Jr. from Notre Dame, so if Kamara misses time, Montgomery turns into the handcuff for Murray, albeit an unconventional one. It is unlikely Montgomery would get enormous work on the bottom if each backs forward of him have been unavailable.
The place Montgomery has a small probability of fantasy relevance in 2020 is available in PPR leagues. If Kamara misses sport motion, that is a profession common of greater than 5 catches per sport that will not be obtainable. Possibly Sanders or Jared Prepare dinner and even Taysom Hill take a few of that, but it surely’s probably the Saints would additionally use Montgomery from time to time in a Kamara-like position.
Montgomery is not at the moment being drafted in normal or PPR leagues. In case you’re a Kamara proprietor and need some form of insurance coverage with Murray already on a special workforce, you may snag Montgomery. And in PPR drafts nonetheless upcoming, if Kamara does not return to the workforce earlier than your draft, Montgomery is an attention-grabbing late-round flier in the identical mould as Chris Thompson in Jacksonville.
2020 FANTASY SLEEPERS:
6 QBs | 16 RBs | 14 WRs | 10 TEs | 5 D/STs | One from every workforce
Fantasy outlooks for Drew Brees, Emmanuel Sanders, Jared Prepare dinner
There is no want to speak about Michael Thomas right here — he’ll be a famous person no matter who the Saints have within the backfield. A Kamara absence might have a adverse impression on the remainder of the Saints’ fantasy manufacturing.
New Orleans may need almost the identical probability of successful soccer video games if Murray is the beginning RB, however the Saints will do it in a different way. Murray most likely shifts the offense a bit towards ground-and-pound, giving Brees much less low-cost manufacturing on dump-off passes (though Murray nonetheless will get a few of these). Even a small decline in go performs can damage the Saints’ secondary receivers, like Sanders and Prepare dinner. None of Brees, Sanders or Prepare dinner probably drop greater than a spot or two within the rankings with out Kamara, however if you happen to’re selecting between one in every of them and a participant you deem equal, possibly you select to pick out the non-New Orleans choice.