Alvin Kamara may’ve been warning everybody of his impending holdout on Aug. 17, when he tweeted, “Sorry upfront.” ESPN’s Adam Schefter reported Monday that the star RB from the Saints has been an unexcused absence from the previous three days of apply due to a scenario that’s believed to be contract-related. With Kamara going off the board within the first spherical throughout fantasy soccer drafts, any potential holdout may have main implications on the season. There will be much more carries out there to handcuff Latavius Murray, and even backup RB Ty Montgomery may discover a function within the Saints’ offense, making him a stealth sleeper lurking low in our PPR rankings.
We’ll proceed so as to add new updates to the publish beneath all through the preseason. For the most recent on extra fantasy information, you should definitely observe us on Twitter @SN_Fantasy.
DOMINATE YOUR DRAFT: Final 2020 cheat sheet
Alvin Kamara fantasy outlook
Kamara presently ranks as our No. eight RB in commonplace leagues and No. four in PPR leagues, assuming he reveals up and begins the season on time. In keeping with FantasyPros ADP information, he is going off the board sixth on the place. Regardless of the place you look, Kamara is a first-round fantasy draft choose, and for good purpose.
Accidents in 2019 did not cease Kamara from averaging 12.zero fantasy factors per recreation in commonplace leagues and 17.eight factors per recreation in PPR. Kamara’s season would’ve been even better with higher landing luck, the sort that noticed him rating 14 TDs on the bottom alone in 2018. Kamara’s constant workload within the New Orleans offense makes him an every-week starter you possibly can depend on. In every of his first three NFL seasons, Kamara has caught precisely 81 passes.
The addition of Emmanuel Sanders to the Saints may solely enhance their offense barely from a yr in the past. Kamara continues to be set to be a part of a one-two punch with Michael Thomas. Do not forget that previous to the 2019 season, Kamara was locked and loaded as a top-four general choose in fantasy drafts. And he is solely 25, so he may nonetheless enhance.
As of Sept. 1, Kamara comes with danger in fantasy drafts, although. Till he returns to apply, or indicators a brand new contract, there’s danger that he will not be on the market Week 1. Any time missed out of your first-round choose might be too nice to beat, so till Kamara returns to the staff, he is in all probability value passing on within the first spherical. There ought to be some optimism surrounding Kamara’s possible contract wishes because the Saints obtained a deal carried out shortly with Michael Thomas, however RB is a complete completely different animal in immediately’s NFL.
Kamara is probably going nonetheless value draft within the second spherical, however as we have seen with Le’Veon Bell and Melvin Gordon, these holdouts can linger into the season — presumably all yr. If extra detrimental stories come out of New Orleans, Kamara’s draft worth will hold dropping.
2020 STANDARD FANTASY RANKINGS:
Quarterback | Operating again | Huge receiver | Tight finish | D/ST | Kicker | Superflex | High 200
Who’s the Saints Handcuff RB? Latavius Murray steps into sleeper function
When Kamara’s wholesome, Murray in all probability qualifies as essentially the most concerned RB handcuff in soccer. The Saints rushed him 146 instances in 2019 and focused him one other 43 instances. On plenty of groups, Murray could be a lead again. He is massive and quick, and if Kamara is not prepared for Week 1, Murray turns into a powerful RB2.
In case your draft continues to be upcoming, Murray is a must-draft if you happen to resolve to take the chance with Kamara within the early rounds. FantasyPros has Murray coming off the board 119th general, but when Kamara continues his absence, Murray will certainly rise.
For a way of Murray’s upside, simply take a look at his begins in Weeks 7 and eight when Kamara was out final yr. He acquired 27 after which 21 carries, respectively, rushed for greater than 100 yards in each video games, was focused a mixed 18 instances and scored 4 whole touchdowns. In an offense that is nonetheless as explosive as New Orleans’ is, Murray shall be in beginning fantasy lineups any week Kamara misses.
For now, donsider Murray a fifth- or sixth-round goal.
2020 PPR RANKINGS:
Operating again | Huge receiver | Tight finish | Superflex | High 200
PPR Sleeper: Ty Montgomery
Past Kamara and Murray, the Saints have former Packers WR-turned-RB Ty Montgomery. The opposite RBs that might presumably make the roster are Dwayne Washington, presently on the COVID-19 restriction record, and rookie Tony Jones Jr. from Notre Dame, so if Kamara misses time, Montgomery turns into the handcuff for Murray, albeit an unconventional one. It is unlikely Montgomery would get enormous work on the bottom if each backs forward of him have been unavailable.
The place Montgomery has a small likelihood of fantasy relevance in 2020 is available in PPR leagues. If Kamara misses recreation motion, that is a profession common of greater than 5 catches per recreation that will not be out there. Perhaps Sanders or Jared Cook dinner and even Taysom Hill take a few of that, however it’s seemingly the Saints would additionally use Montgomery from time to time in a Kamara-like function.
Montgomery is not presently being drafted in commonplace or PPR leagues. When you’re a Kamara proprietor and wish some type of insurance coverage with Murray already on a distinct staff, you may snag Montgomery. And in PPR drafts nonetheless upcoming, if Kamara does not return to the staff earlier than your draft, Montgomery is an attention-grabbing late-round flier in the identical mould as Chris Thompson in Jacksonville.
2020 FANTASY SLEEPERS:
6 QBs | 16 RBs | 14 WRs | 10 TEs | 5 D/STs | One from every staff
Fantasy outlooks for Drew Brees, Emmanuel Sanders, Jared Cook dinner
There is not any want to speak about Michael Thomas right here — he’ll be a celebrity no matter who the Saints have within the backfield. A Kamara absence may have a detrimental affect on the remainder of the Saints’ fantasy manufacturing.
New Orleans may need practically the identical likelihood of successful soccer video games if Murray is the beginning RB, however the Saints will do it in a different way. Murray in all probability shifts the offense a bit towards ground-and-pound, giving Brees much less low-cost manufacturing on dump-off passes (though Murray nonetheless will get a few of these). Even a small decline in cross performs can harm the Saints’ secondary receivers, like Sanders and Cook dinner. None of Brees, Sanders or Cook dinner seemingly drop greater than a spot or two within the rankings with out Kamara, however if you happen to’re selecting between considered one of them and a participant you deem equal, possibly you select to pick the non-New Orleans possibility.