Republicans worry “floodgates” if Bolton testifies
There could also be sufficient new stress on Senate Republicans to permit witnesses at President Trump’s impeachment trial, after the leak from a forthcoming e book by former nationwide safety adviser John Bolton that contradicts what the White Home has been telling the nation.
Why it issues: This can be a dramatic, 11th-hour inflection level for the trial, with an eyewitness rebuttal to Trump’s declare that he by no means tied the hold-up of Ukrainian help to investigations into Joe Biden.
GOP sources say the revelation might be sufficient to sway the 4 Republican senators wanted for witnesses — particularly since Sens. Mitt Romney of Utah and Susan Collins of Maine have already strongly signaled they’d vote for witnesses. …
The state of play: Republican sources inform Axios that occasion leaders and the White Home will nonetheless attempt to withstand witnesses as a result of, as one high aide put it, “there’s a sense within the Senate that if one witness is allowed, the floodgates are open.”
“If [Bolton] says stuff that implicates, say Mick [Mulvaney] or [Mike] Pompeo, then requires them will intensify,” the aide stated.
In different phrases, it will spoil their cover-up. Smoking weapons are so annoying.
My thread on blistering Pompeo assertion on NPR interview.
Two different ideas:
1. Assertion has State Dept seal!
2. What’s he saying about Bangladesh? Is he implying she didn’t ID Ukraine? (She does have a masters in European research from Cambridge, however okay) https://t.co/3MvjO8vDrd
— David Folkenflik (@davidfolkenflik) January 25, 2020
And in a Saturday interview with All Issues Thought of, NPR President and CEO John Lansing additionally got here to Kelly’s protection.
“Mary Louise Kelly is without doubt one of the most revered, truthful, factual, skilled and moral journalists in the US, and that is recognized by the whole press corps,” Lansing informed host Michel Martin. “And I stand behind her and I stand behind the NPR newsroom, and the assertion from the secretary of state is blatantly false.”
Lansing allowed that tensions can and do come up when journalists ask officers arduous questions.
“However this goes nicely past pressure — this goes towards intimidation,” Lansing stated. “And let me simply say this: We won’t be intimidated. Mary Louise Kelly will not be intimidated, and NPR will not be intimidated.”
New Fox Information ballot:
On impeachment, by a 50-44% margin, voters suppose the Senate ought to vote to convict Trump and take away him from workplace.
Amongst independents, extra say Trump needs to be eliminated by a 19-point margin (53-34%).
— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) January 26, 2020
Increase and bust: Economic system and impeachment seize the forces that can decide Trump’s destiny
“From the start of the [University of Michigan] survey by the administration of President George W. Bush, there was a reasonably easy relationship: Increased scores on this [economic] index equal higher approval rankings,” Sides wrote lately in The Washington Put up.
That relationship started to fray below President Barack Obama. Most specialists attributed the change to the nation’s growing political polarization: Polls present that Republicans and Democrats at the moment are extra prone to view the economic system positively when their occasion controls the White Home. That meant Obama did not profit as a lot as many students anticipated when the economic system slowly recovered after the crash of 2008.
However Trump, as with many issues, has pushed this dynamic to a brand new peak. Polls seize an unmistakable enchancment in voter attitudes in regards to the economic system, however those self same surveys present that Trump’s standing is far weaker than that of any of his latest predecessors among the many voters who categorical such financial contentment…
The most recent CNN/SSRS ballot, launched this week, illuminates the identical traits from one other angle. Within the ballot, 55% of respondents stated they authorized of how Trump is dealing with the economic system, a strong quantity which may usually predict clean crusing to reelection for an incumbent president. However 29% of the respondents who authorized of Trump’s financial efficiency say he abused his energy in his dealings with Ukraine, and 23% stated they nonetheless disapproved of his total job efficiency, in response to detailed figures supplied by the CNN polling unit.
The results of this resistance is that regardless of the spike in constructive attitudes in regards to the economic system, Trump’s total approval ranking has elevated by solely about 1 share level over the previous 12 months within the cumulative index maintained by fivethirtyeight.com.
In assist of Brownstein’s piece, this am’s ballot: even with robust financial assist Trump at finest breaks even the place anybody else would handily lead:
BREAKING: Pres. Trump trailed high Democratic candidates amongst all adults by double-digits within the fall; heÃ¢ÂÂs now minimize these margins in half.
Amongst registered voters, heÃ¢ÂÂs now working basically even in head-to-head matchups. https://t.co/UQr2ksoqEJ
— Evan McMurry (@evanmcmurry) January 27, 2020
Obama’s 2016 Warning: Trump Is a ‘Fascist’
The newly revealed remark is without doubt one of the former president’s strongest recognized critiques of his successor.
Obama has by no means gone so far as utilizing the phrase fascist in public, despite the fact that that’s not an unusual opinion, particularly on the left. Journalists and lecturers who’ve lived in and studied fascist regimes repeatedly level to the traits Trump appears to share with these leaders, together with demanding fealty, intentionally spreading misinformation, and adopting Joseph Stalin’s slur that the press is the “enemy of the folks.” And that’s to not point out Trump’s obvious admiration for residing authoritarians, comparable to Russia’s Putin, Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, and North Korea’s Kim Jong Un. “He speaks, and his folks sit up at consideration,” Trump gushed about Kim in a 2018 interview on Fox & Associates. “I would like my folks to do the identical.”
Within the footage from Hillary, Kaine appears to recommend that Obama needed him to be extra aggressive towards Trump. “He is aware of me and is aware of I are inclined to” maintain again, Kaine says. (This previous November, Kaine referred to Trump as a “tyrant” in an interview on the Radio Atlantic podcast.)
Within the Sundance interview, Clinton stated that Obama had by no means used the phrase fascist in conversations together with her about Trump. However, she stated, what Obama “noticed was this populism untethered to information, proof, or fact; this complete rejection of a lot of the progress that America has made, with a view to incite a cultural response that will play into the worry and the anxiousness and the insecurity of individuals—predominantly in small-town and rural areas—who felt like they have been shedding one thing. And [Trump] gave them a voice for what they have been shedding and who was accountable.”
Possibly now NPR will cowl impeachment as if there’s a fact to be found there, not merely a muddle of equally credible opposing claims?
— Jason Fagone (@jfagone) January 26, 2020
Biden holds regular, Warren slips in nationwide ballot as Iowa caucuses strategy
Joe Biden holds his floor within the new nationwide ABC Information/Washington Put up ballot.
With the Feb. three Iowa caucuses drawing close to, 77% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents nationally say they’re happy with their alternative of candidates. Far fewer, 24%, are very happy, though that’s close to the typical in ABC/Put up polls since 2000.
See PDF for full outcomes, charts and tables.
This ballot, produced for ABC by Langer Analysis Associates, finds loads of room for motion: Nearly half of leaned Democrats are very keen about their alternative, and 53% say they’d contemplate supporting a unique candidate. Warren, whereas weaker as a primary alternative, leads in second-choice choice.
Seven months later, appears to be like very like July 2019
Leonard Pitts, Jr/Miami Herald:
No, it’s not the economic system, silly. Trump supporters worry a black and brown America.
This column is offered as a service for these progressive readers who’re scuffling with one thing I stated on this house. Specifically, that I see no level in attempting to purpose with Trump voters. I first wrote that over a month in the past, and I’m nonetheless listening to how “disillusioned” they’re at my refusal to succeed in out. So I believed it could be invaluable to listen to from the folks I’ve failed to succeed in out to.
I’m positive a few of you suppose these emails have been cherry-picked to focus on the intolerance of Trump voters. They weren’t. They’re, in actual fact, a consultant sampling from a single day in Could, culled by my assistant, Judi.
It’s nonetheless an article of religion for a lot of that the Trump phenomenon was born out of fiscal insecurity, the primal scream of working folks left behind by a altering economic system. However I don’t suppose I’ve ever, not as soon as, seen an electronic mail from a Trump supporter who defined himself when it comes to the manufacturing unit or the coal mine shutting down.
I’ve, nonetheless, heard from a whole bunch like “Matthew,” who worries about “immigrants” and “Gerald,” who thinks folks of coloration have an “alliance” towards him. Such folks validate the decision of a rising physique of scholarship that claims, within the phrases of a brand new research by College of Kansas professors David N. Smith and Eric Hanley, “The decisive purpose that white, male, older and fewer educated voters have been disproportionately pro-Trump is that they shared his prejudices and needed domineering, aggressive leaders …”
Ezra Klein/NY Instances:
Why Democrats Nonetheless Should Enchantment to the Heart, however Republicans Don’t
Polarization has modified the 2 events — simply not in the identical approach.
In consequence, successful the Democratic major means successful liberal whites in New Hampshire and traditionalist blacks in South Carolina. It means speaking to Irish Catholics in Boston and atheists in San Francisco. It means inspiring liberals with out arousing the fears of moderates. It’s vital preparation for the tough, pluralistic work of governing, during which the wants and considerations of many various teams should be balanced towards each other.
The Democratic Celebration isn’t just extra various in who it represents; it’s additionally extra various in whom it listens to. A brand new Pew survey examined Democratic and Republican belief in 30 completely different media sources, starting from left to proper. Democrats trusted 22 of the 30 sources, together with center-right retailers like The Wall Road Journal. Republicans trusted solely seven of the 30 sources, with PBS, the BBC and The Wall Road Journal the one mainstream retailers with important belief. (The opposite trusted sources, in case you have been questioning, have been Fox Information, Sean Hannity, Rush Limbaugh and Breitbart.)
Matt Grossmann and David A Hopkins made this statement some time in the past, however it’s price revisiting.
Inside a month of the invention of the Wuhan coronavirus, the @CDCgov has generated an assay for the virus and made the protocol publicly accessible to the world. That is an impressive instance of the significance of publicly funded scientific infrastructure! https://t.co/W6krZbVfaS
— Russ Poldrack (@russpoldrack) January 26, 2020