JK Dobbins Fantasy Outlook: When will rookie unseat Mark Ingram as Ravens’ RB1?

Mark Ingram was a extremely profitable fantasy RB in 2019 working with Lamar Jackson within the Ravens’ backfield. That did not cease the Ravens from choosing JK Dobbins within the second spherical of the 2020 NFL Draft with the 55th total choose. Ingram has reached that magic working again age of 30 which generally spells fast decline, so fantasy house owners are questioning if Dobbins is not only a sleeper or a handcuff, however quickly to be a beginning NFL working again and potential RB1.

Baltimore nonetheless has final yr’s rookie Justice Hill on its roster, together with veteran Gus Edwards. We all know how a lot the Ravens like to run the soccer, so this most likely will not ever completely be a one-man present (nicely, aside from in Lamar’s massive video games). Whether or not it’s best to draft Dobbins or Ingram — and when it’s best to draft them — relies upon totally on when, if in any respect, you suppose the torch shall be handed from veteran to rookie.

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JK Dobbins fantasy outlook

From the second Dobbins stepped on the Ohio State campus as a freshman, he was arguably the very best RB within the Massive 10. All three of his seasons ended with greater than 1,000 yards, and in his junior yr, Dobbins surpassed 2,000 speeding yards to go along with 21 speeding touchdowns on a ridiculous 6.7 yards per carry common (which was truly decrease than his 7.2 yards per rush as a freshman). He additionally caught between 22 and 26 passes in every of his three years for the Buckeyes.

Dobbins checks in at 5-10 however is not a frail dude — he is 212 kilos, in response to Soccer Reference. He combines a dynamic mixture of pace and power, a la prime Maurice Jones-Drew. 

We all know Dobbins can ball. The query is whether or not the Ravens will give him an opportunity in yr one. 

The Ravens’ official web site means that Dobbins’ rookie yr position might be much like that of Ray Rice in 2008, when Rice rushed 107 occasions behind Willis McGahee. It is seemingly that the backfield breakdown a minimum of begins that manner, with Dobbins seeing eight-to-10 touches a recreation as a potential fantasy flex play. 

The hope for anybody drafting Dobbins is that he performs nicely along with his early-season touches. Whereas it is unlikely he ever totally unseats Ingram whereas he is nonetheless a rookie, Dobbins might take the reins of the backfield within the second half along with his more energizing, youthful legs. If Ingram will get damage, Dobbins is an instantaneous RB2 with RB1 upside.

Quarterback | Operating again | Huge receiver | Tight finish | D/ST | Kicker | Superflex | High 200

Mark Ingram fantasy outlook

A number of working backs have pushed again on the 30-year previous RB narrative lately — simply consider Frank Gore and Adrian Peterson nonetheless kicking it lengthy into their 30s. However Ingram has carried greater than 1,500 occasions in his NFL profession, so it is seemingly his greatest days are behind him and never in entrance of him.

Fortunately for Ingram, the Baltimore offense and Jackson kind the proper scenario for a working again. Not like with most groups, Baltimore’s greatest working risk is its QB, that means that Ingram and co. work with much less consideration and extra space than just about every other backfield. A yr in the past, that meant Ingram averaged 5.zero yards per carry, broke 1,000 yards on the bottom, and scored 10 speeding touchdowns.

As we noticed final yr, although, Ingram’s upside is already capped due to Jackson’s speeding presence. Sometimes, Ingram discovered the top zone a pair occasions early in video games, however different occasions Jackson served as a TD vulture himself.

Ingram goes off the board because the No. 23 RB in drafts, in response to FantasyPros, which might be a good worth. Dobbins goes off the board 9 RBs later, so it would not be a superbly straightforward handcuff to accumulate, though it may be executed. The very best wager right here is that Ingram holds down RB2 worth within the first half of the season, and that will probably be Dobbins’ first-half efficiency that determines which again issues extra heading into the fantasy playoffs.

Operating again | Huge receiver | Tight finish | Superflex | High 200

What about Justice Hill, Gus Edwards?

Final yr, Hill was certainly one of our favourite sleepers for lots of the identical causes as Dobbins has now. The distinction is usually that Dobbins extra readily suits the three-down working again mildew that may make him a fantasy stud; Hill’s upside nonetheless stays extra as a receiving again in an offense that does not throw a lot.

The one manner Hill or the veteran Edwards matter is within the case of harm. Edwards suits extra on the depth-chart as an early-down backup, so if Ingram obtained damage and Dobbins was off to an ineffective begin, Edwards might see some carries. Hill is extra of a deep-league PPR goal at this level who seemingly solely turns into barely related if Dobbins will get damage or is not utilized on passing downs.

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