Odds for NASCAR race at Darlington: Knowledgeable picks & favorites to win Sunday’s race

Choosing a winner based mostly on the chances for Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Collection race at Darlington Raceway (6 p.m. ET on NBCSN) is difficult for the reason that Southern 500 is a lot longer than every of the pair of races the collection ran at this monitor when it returned to dwell racing again in Might. This 500-mile race tends to be a battle of attrition.

In fact, with that mentioned, there’s little cause to select towards the drivers who received these two Darlington races within the spring. They’re the identical two drivers who’ve dominated a lot of the 2020 NASCAR Cup Collection season.

MORE: Watch NASCAR dwell with fuboTV (7-day free trial)

No one must be shocked to see Kevin Harvick and Denny Hamlin atop the chances board for Sunday’s race at Darlington. They enter the NASCAR Cup Collection playoffs first and second, respectively, within the factors standings. And collectively, they’ve received precisely half of the 26 races up to now this season.

Under are the whole Vegas odds to win Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Collection race at Darlington, plus our high three picks of drivers who might find yourself taking the checkered flag.

NASCAR odds to win at Darlington

Harvick received the primary of two beforehand unscheduled Darlington races this season in Might, which marked NASCAR’s return to dwell racing after a two-month hiatus amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Just a few nights later, Hamlin took the checkered flag within the second Darlington race.

Under are the whole odds to win Sunday’s NASCAR race at Darlington, courtesy of Sports activities Insider.

Driver
Odds to win Darlington race
Denny Hamlin
+300
Kevin Harvick
+300
Martin Truex Jr.
+750
Brad Keselowski
+1000
Kyle Busch
+1000
Chase Elliott
+1200
Joey Logano
+1800
Erik Jones
+2500
Kurt Busch
+2500
Ryan Blaney
+2500
Aric Almirola
+2800
Alex Bowman
+3300
Jimmie Johnson
+3300
Clint Bowyer
+4000
Matt DiBenedetto
+5000
Tyler Reddick
+5000
William Byron
+5000
Christopher Bell
+7500
Austin Dillon
+8000
Cole Custer
+10000
Matt Kenseth
+15000
Ryan Newman
+15000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
+20000
Chris Buescher
+25000
Bubba Wallace
+25000
John Hunter Nemechek
+50000
Ty Dillon
+50000
Daniel Suarez
+75000
JJ Yeley
+75000
Michael McDowell
+75000
Brennan Poole
+100000
Corey LaJoie
+100000
James Davison
+100000
Joey Gase
+100000
Josh Bilicki
+100000
Quin Houff
+100000
Reed Sorenson
+100000
Ryan Preece
+100000
Timmy Hill
+100000

Hamlin statistically is the perfect driver within the area at Darlington. His Joe Gibbs Racing teammate Erik Jones didn’t make the 2020 NASCAR Cup Collection playoffs, however Jones, who received final yr’s Southern 500, is second to Hamlin when it comes to profession driver ranking at this monitor.

Under are the highest 10 driver scores at Darlington amongst these in Sunday’s area. (Driver scores compiled from 2005-2020 races amongst energetic drivers at Darlington.)

Denny Hamlin, 106.7Erik Jones, 106.6Kevin Harvick, 103.5Kyle Busch, 102.9Brad Keselowski, 99.9Martin Truex Jr., 99.6Jimmie Johnson, 95.3Joey Logano, 89.5Matt Kenseth, 89.1Ryan Newman, 88.four 

The system to find out the beginning lineup of Sunday’s race (and all others shifting ahead with out qualifying) took under consideration factors standings and outcomes from the earlier race. So Chase Elliott, who completed second final week at Daytona and in addition recorded the quickest lap of the race, will begin on the pole Sunday at Darlington.

Which is nice information for the No. 9 crew, because the pole has produced probably the most Darlington wins amongst all beginning positions.

Under is the breakdown of wins by beginning place within the 118-race historical past of the NASCAR Cup Collection at Darlington.


MORE: Full beginning lineup for Darlington race

NASCAR at Darlington professional picks

(Statistics are Loop Information from 2005 – current)

1. Denny Hamlin

Profession stats at Darlington:

Three wins, 9 high fives, 13 high 10s and one pole in 16 startsAverage end of seven.188 (second-best)Common operating place of eight.131 (series-best)Driver ranking of 106.7 (series-best)

Hamlin is simply too sturdy of a favourite to not decide. This pace his crew has this season mixed together with his monitor file at Darlington makes him the strongest contender. He additionally will begin the race on the entrance row with Elliott.

2. Kevin Harvick

Profession stats at Darlington:

Two wins, 10 high fives, 14 high 10s and two poles in 25 startsAverage end of 11.235 (sixth-best)Common operating place of 10.948 (fifth-best)Driver ranking of 103.5 (third-best)

On the identical observe, Harvick is one other sturdy favourite for good cause, and we won’t ignore it. Whereas his Darlington stats aren’t on the extent of these of Hamlin, Harvick definitely has the pace to win one other race on an intermediate monitor.

three. Martin Truex Jr.

Profession stats at Darlington:

One win, two high fives, eight high 10s in 16 startsAverage end of 11.125 (fifth-best)Common operating place of 11.138 (sixth-best)Driver Score of 99.6 (sixth-best)

Truex is on a ridiculous, eight-race streak of top-four finishes, together with what at one level was 5 straight third-place finishes. That pace suggests he has to interrupt via for his second win of the season sooner or later, proper?

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