Odds for NASCAR race at New Hampshire: Knowledgeable picks & favorites to win Sunday’s race

Choosing a winner primarily based on the percentages for Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Collection race at New Hampshire Speedway (three p.m. ET, NBCSN) is a problem as a result of the “Magic Mile” is such a singular observe.

The 1.058-mile oval in Loudon, N.H., is so flat with 2- to 7-degree variable banking within the corners that it mainly drives like a brief observe and eats up tires. The comparatively gradual nature of the observe is why Sunday’s race is barely 301 laps and 318.46 miles.

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The Foxwoods Resort On line casino 301 is the one and solely NASCAR Cup Collection race at New Hampshire this season, because the observe now hosts one Cup race per 12 months after getting two per 12 months from 1997-2017. So, naturally, the motive force who has gained the final to Cup races at New Hampshire is the favourite for Sunday’s occasion.

Beneath are the whole Vegas odds to win Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Collection race at New Hampshire plus our high three picks of drivers who might find yourself taking the checkered flag.

NASCAR odds to win at New Hampshire

Kevin Harvick is a comparatively simple selection as the favourite for Sunday’s race. He has gained the final two Cup races at New Hampshire and leads all energetic drivers with 4 profession victories on the observe. He additionally occurs to be the NASCAR Cup Collection factors chief after 19 races in 2020 with 4 wins on the season.

Denny Hamlin is simply behind Harvick with three profession victories at New Hampshire and is coming off his series-best fifth win of the 2020 season. That is why he’s a detailed second behind Harvick on the percentages board.

Beneath are the whole odds to win Sunday’s NASCAR race at New Hampshire, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

Driver
Odds to win New Hampshire race
Kevin Harvick
+420
Denny Hamlin
+480
Kyle Busch
+800
Martin Truex Jr.
+900
Ryan Blaney
+900
Brad Keselowski
+1000
Chase Elliott
+1000
Joey Logano
+1400
Aric Almirola
+2400
Alex Bowman
+3100
Kurt Busch
+3100
Christopher Bell
+3500
Erik Jones
+3500
Jimmie Johnson
+3500
Matt Kenseth
+4700
William Byron
+4700
Clint Bowyer
+5500
Cole Custer
+5500
Tyler Reddick
+5500
Matt DiBenedetto
+7500
Austin Dillon
+8500
Ryan Newman
+8500
Brennan Poole
+20000
Bubba Wallace
+20000
Chris Buescher
+20000
Corey LaJoie
+20000
Daniel Suarez
+20000
JJ Yeley
+20000
Joey Gase
+20000
John Hunter Nemechek
+20000
Michael McDowell
+20000
Quin Houff
+20000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
+20000
Ryan Preece
+20000
Timmy Hill
+20000
Ty Dillon
+20000

Beneath are the highest 10 driver scores at New Hampshire amongst energetic racers:

Denny Hamlin, 103.6Kyle Busch, 102.4Jimmie Johnson, 99.1Kevin Harvick, 98.5Brad Keselowski, 98.4Martin Truex Jr., 95.0Matt Kenseth, 92.7Chase Elliott, 90.7Kurt Busch, 89.9Ryan Newman, 88.2

Hamlin will begin Sunday’s race in second place and on the entrance row with pole-sitter Aric Almirola. That is excellent news for each, because the entrance row has produced 18.75 p.c of Cup Collection winners at New Hampshire. The primary beginning place is essentially the most proficient within the subject, producing extra winners (six) than some other beginning place on the observe.

Beneath is the breakdown of wins by beginning place within the historical past of Cup racing (48 whole races) at New Hampshire.

Beginning place
Successful %
Wins
1st
12.5 p.c
6
Entrance row
18.75 p.c
9
High 5
27.08 p.c
13
High 10
52.08 p.c
25
Exterior high 20
18.75 p.c
9

The highest 10 starters for Sunday’s race at New Hampshire (as decided by a random draw of the highest 12 groups by proprietor factors) are as follows:

Aric AlmirolaDenny HamlinChase ElliottBrad KeselowskiKyle BuschClint BowyerKevin HarvickAlex BowmanJoey LoganoKurt Busch

MORE: Full beginning lineup for New Hampshire race

NASCAR at New Hampshire skilled picks

(Driver loop knowledge stats are from 2005-present)

1. Kyle Busch

Profession stats at New Hampshire:

Three wins, 11 high fives, 16 high 10s; three polesAverage end of 12.607 (eighth-best)Common working place of 11.334 (fourth-best)Driver score of 102.four (second-best)

He has to win this season sooner or later, proper? It’d as nicely come at a observe the place he tends to run nicely and the place Joe Gibbs Racing has 11 wins, essentially the most for any group on the one-mile observe. If he has the velocity, we all know KFB has the expertise to get on the board in 2020.

2. Brad Keselowski

Profession stats at New Hampshire:

One win, seven high fives, 12 high 10s; 4 polesAverage end of 11.000 (second-best)Common working place of 10.921 (third-best)Driver score of 98.four (fifth-best)

Statistically, Keselowski is the most effective of the three Crew Penske drivers at New Hampshire, although his lone Cup Collection win on the observe got here again in the summertime of 2014. He led 12 laps on this race final 12 months after beginning on the pole, and his staff’s velocity this season suggests he can end the job in 2020.

three. Denny Hamlin

Profession stats at New Hampshire:

Three wins, 10 high fives, 15 high 10sAverage end of 9.885 (series-best)Common working place of 10.697 (series-best)Driver score of 103.6 (series-best)

This may imply an absurd sixth victory in 2020 for Hamlin, however the driver of the No. 11 JGR Toyota is simply too good at New Hampshire to not embrace as choose to win. He led 113 laps on this race final 12 months earlier than barely ending second to Harvick. 

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